Description: The purpose of this paper is to present to the actuarial profession a stochastic investment model which can be used for simulations extending for many years ahead. Discussed in the paper are the general reasons for choosing the style of model, the general model and how to use it, the assumptions and the sensitivity of model to the assumptions made and the possible applications in the investment and actuarial fields.

Description: This paper develops a conceptually rigorous, but practical, approach to estimating risk margins that are consistent with actuary's cost of capital concept.

Description: 'This paper looks at the issue of the timing the commencement of income annuities from the perspective of a real life client scenario.' From the 2011 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, March 2011.

Description: There have been continual advances in the modeling of financial series but most are aimed at the pricing of derivatives. Different criteria are needed for development of scenarios for risk management. Some recent methods will be reviewed with an eye on risk-management applications, including using the simulated method of moments to parameterize multifactor models, fractional differencing and other methods to model series with persistent autocorrelation, and models to flatten out the volatility smile, such as jump-diffusion models. These methods will be illustrated with applications to inflation, interest rates, equity prices and exchange rates.

Description: Six appendices are presented: Study Methodology and Response, Column Names and Data Codes, Listing of Respondents and Reports Received, Experience Study Data, Valuation Report Data, and Investment Data. From A Study of Public Employees Retirement Systems, M-RS96-1.